Statewide Primaries Heat Up: California Gubernatorial Race, LA Mayor, Iowa Fires, NJ Congressional Strain, and Independence in the Midwest","description":"A deep dive into the key primary contests shaping the 2026 American political landscape.","summary":"The 2026 primary season sees a crowded California governor field, a historic Los Angeles mayoral showdown, renewed Democratic hopes in Iowa, a concerning absence in New Jersey, and the rise of independent challengers in Montana and South Dakota. These contests could set the tone for the national election and reveal shifting voter sentiment across the country.","image":"https://dims.apnews.com/dims4/default/12b4e83/2147483647/strip/true/crop/7259x4839+0+0/resize/599x399!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2Fe3%2F31%2F2be43f6caf9764da43bcbe5fbc4a%2F45639797d6274cc2a3918615a798aeb0","text":"<p>WASHINGTON — The 2026 primary calendar is heating up across the United States. In California, the governor field is deeper than most Democrats and Republicans expect, with former congressman Xavier Becerra, climate activist Tom Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton each jostling for a spot on the November ballot. In Los Angeles, Mayor Karen Bass faces a charismatic reality‑star challenger, Spencer Pratt, as the city readies itself for the 2028 Olympics.</p>\n\n<h2>California’s Low‑Wattage Governor Race</h2>\n<p>California’s governor’s office is usually a magnet for high‑profile political figures. This year the political coverage is comparatively flat: former Vice President Kamala Harris and Senator Alex Padilla skipped the race, and Governor Gavin Newsom is barred from a third term. The resulting scramble left the field wide open and crowded, with many contenders using only a modest organizational base to launch campaigns.</p>\n<p>Under the state’s open‑primary system, all candidates appear on one ballot and the top two finishers advance to the November general election, regardless of party. The absence of a clear front‑runner has attracted a variety of aspirants, but Democrats and Republicans are each hoping to secure at least one spot in the fall. The early rounds have seen a gradual narrowing of the field, and analysts believe the primary’s closing weeks will likely confirm a Democratic presence on the statewide ballot.</p>\n\n<h2>Los Angeles Mayor Seeks to Fend Off Reality Star Challenger</h2>\n<p>Mayor Karen Bass, a Democrat who has faced frequent criticism from conservative circles, is in a tough race to keep her seat. While the mayor has acknowledged mistakes following the city’s recent wildfire crisis—an event that accelerated the loss of homes and infrastructure—she centers her campaign on recovery and progress.</p>\n<p>Spencer Pratt, a reality‑TV personality known from “The Hills,” has launched a spirited campaign challenging Bass. Pratt has used AI‑generated videos of himself as a superhero battling street criminals and Democratic politicians, and he has blamed Bass for the destruction that has taken his own home.</p>\n<p>The mayoral contest is officially nonpartisan. Bass runs as a Democrat; Pratt is a registered Republican who has received a nod of approval from Donald Trump. If no candidate secures a majority in the primary, the top two will advance to a November runoff.</p>\n<p>Los Angeles has not elected a Republican mayor since 1997, and the outcome will be watched closely as an indicator of urban voters’ appetite for liberal leadership. A winner will step into a role of global importance as the city prepares to host the 2028 Olympic Games.</p>\n\n<h2>Democrats Look to Iowa to Rebuild in the Heartland</h2>\n<p>Iowa has a complicated history with the Democratic Party. The state once produced Barack Obama and five‑term Senator Tom Harkin. The current election sees Democrat Rob Sand running unopposed for the governor’s nomination. A native of Decorah, Sand has rural credentials that resonate with voters in a state that leans Republican, and his recent roles as fiscal auditor and local official have given him a track record of winning in a heavily red state.</p>\n<p>Five Republican candidates have entered the race, including former Representative Randy Feenstra, who announced his candidacy last week. With no incumbent on the ballot, Democratic hopes rest on election + 2024 fallout from the Taylor–Rafe, rising gas prices due to the Iran conflict, and the absence of a Republican incumbent.</p>\n<p>In the U.S. Senate race, State Rep. Josh Turek and Sen. Zach Wahls are competing for the Democratic nomination. The contest is divided over policy direction, while Republicans have coalesced behind Rep. Ashley Hinson for the seat currently held by Republican Joni Ernst.</p>\n\n<h2>An Unexplained Absence Puts Crucial GOP Seat at Risk</h2>\n<p>In New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr is running unopposed for the primary but has been absent from Congress for three months, missing more than 100 votes. The absence raises questions about his ability to represent a highly competitive district that has flipped between parties in recent midterms.</p>\n<p>Rep. Kean’s absence is a centerpiece in the campaign of Democratic challengers who cite the lack of clarity. The district’s participation in early voting could signal whether enthusiastic Democratic turn‑out remains intact following the 2022 loss of former Gov. Tom MacDonald to a Democratic challenger.</p>\n\n<h2>Democrats Pin Their Hopes on Independent Candidates in Some States</h2>\n<p>In the 2026 midterms, Democrats hope for strong challenges in deep‑red states like South Dakota and Montana, but their most promising opposition may come from independents rather than party candidates.</p>\n<p>Montana’s state Senate race is contested by five Democrats for the nomination, yet independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has raised more money than all of them combined and out‑raised the Trump‑backed Republican Kurt Alme.</p>\n<p>In South Dakota, three‑term Republican Senator Mike Rounds is expected to secure his nomination, with Democrat Julian Beaudion as the declared challenger. However, former Republican and now independent Brian Bengs, a military veteran, is poised to present the toughest competition in November.</p>\n\n<p>These contests underscore a 2026 election cycle geared toward surprises: open primaries in historically competitive states, the possibility of a GOP turnover in New Jersey, and the rise of independent challengers in traditionally safe red districts. The outcomes will define the national political dialogue leading into the general election and will be watched closely by voters and analysts alike.</p>