In brief
President Trump's immigration policies may see approximately 320,000 individuals removed from the U.S. within the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The report suggests that slowing immigration and a declining fertility rate could result in 4.5 million fewer residents by 2035 compared to previous estimates. Lower immigration could potentially impact the economy due to a reduced labor force, especially among those aged 25 to 54. Democrats in Congress warn that mass deportations might lead to higher consumer prices, and the CBO forecasts that deaths may surpass births by 2031.
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump’s immigration policies, emphasizing mass deportations and a hardline stance, may lead to about 320,000 removals from the United States over the next decade, as per a report released on Wednesday by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The report indicates that the U.S. population growth will experience a slowdown compared to earlier projections.
Part of Trump’s legislative agenda was a tax and spending law that allocated around $150 billion aimed at enhancing mass deportation efforts over the next four years. This includes financing for a southern border wall extension, additional detention centers, and thousands of law enforcement personnel. According to the CBO, 290,000 individuals may be deported through these measures, with an extra 30,000 anticipated to leave the U.S. voluntarily.
The report highlighted that alongside lower immigration rates, the U.S. is also seeing a declining birthrate, resulting in an adjusted population projection for 2035 that is 4.5 million fewer than earlier estimates. The CBO emphasized the uncertainty of such projections, estimating a future population of around 367 million by 2055.
These demographic shifts have significant economic implications. The CBO noted a decrease in the number of individuals between the ages of 25 to 54 — those most likely to be active in the labor force. The report did not delve into the potential economic impact, but it is important to note that Democrats in Congress have raised concerns that mass deportations could lead to increased prices for everyday goods.
While Trump has expressed interest in fostering a “baby boom” in the country, the CBO indicated no signs of a forthcoming rise in births. The study forecasts that, by 2031, U.S. birth rates may dwindle to the point where deaths will surpass births, occurring two years earlier than previously anticipated.
