In a bid to stimulate its declining birth rates, China will impose a 13% sales tax on contraceptives effective January 1st. Concurrently, childcare services will now be exempt from taxation, part of a comprehensive overhaul of the tax system aimed at addressing challenges associated with an aging population and economic stagnation.
The recent tax changes eliminate several exemptions that had been in place since the days of China's one-child policy, which was repealed years ago. The new tax structure also exempts marriage-related services and elderly care from value-added tax (VAT), reflecting the government's urgency to encourage marriage and parenting among the youth.
China is facing a noteworthy demographic crisis, with its population shrinking over the past three years, and only 9.54 million births registered in 2024 — about half the number recorded a decade earlier. Analysts suggest the increasing cost of raising children, coupled with the burdens of a high-pressure education system, are deterring young couples from expanding their families.
In contrast, the newly imposed tax on contraceptives has stirred up public concern and ridicule, with some suggesting it would take more than increased prices on condoms to compel them to have children. Social media comments have highlighted the disparity between the cost of contraceptives and the significantly greater financial investment required for raising children in China.
Observers are divided on the potential impact of this tax policy. Some argue it might fuel unintended pregnancies, particularly among financially unstable students. Demographers point out that while the immediate aim of boosting birth rates is commendable, the taxation policy may be more of a symbolic gesture amid ongoing economic struggles, rather than an effective solution.
The complexity of the issue is compounded by observed social shifts, with young people increasingly avoiding traditional relationship norms, leading to a drop in overall birth rates, similar to trends seen in many developed nations.
The government faces challenges not only in terms of implementing these policies but also in addressing deeply personal attitudes towards child-rearing and economic worries among its population.



















