Tight Race in Polish Presidential Election: Trzaskowski Claims Narrow Lead

Mon Jun 16 2025 17:13:59 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Tight Race in Polish Presidential Election: Trzaskowski Claims Narrow Lead

In a remarkable twist of events, Rafal Trzaskowski, the liberal mayor of Warsaw, has declared victory in Poland's presidential election, although the leading margin is too close to confirm.


As the exit polls suggest an extremely tight race in the Polish presidential election, Rafal Trzaskowski declares victory with just a slight edge over conservative candidate Karol Nawrocki. Official results are anticipated soon, revealing the future direction of Polish politics.


Warsaw's liberal mayor, Rafal Trzaskowski, has announced an early victory in the closely contested Polish presidential election, yet the exit poll results indicate that his lead is within the margin of error. The exit poll, released just after voting concluded, shows Trzaskowski at 50.3%, marginally surpassing his opponent, conservative historian Karol Nawrocki, who stands at 49.7%. The state electoral commission is expected to release the official results tomorrow morning.

In front of a jubilant crowd, Trzaskowski proclaimed, "We won," adding that the term "razor's edge" will forever resonate in Polish politics. His wife, Malgorzata, humorously noted her anxiety about the close results, suggesting the tension of the moment. Trzaskowski has pledged to connect with voters who supported his rival, stating, "I will be a president for all Polish women and men."

Karol Nawrocki, addressing his devoted supporters, suggested that the election's outcome remains uncertain, expressing optimism for a possible overnight triumph: "The difference is minimal... I believe that we will wake up tomorrow with President Karol Nawrocki."

The Polish presidency is primarily a ceremonial position, yet the president can wield veto power over legislation. The current conservative president, Andrzej Duda, has utilized this authority to obstruct Prime Minister Donald Tusk's key promises, including significant reforms in the judiciary and reproductive rights. Should Trzaskowski's victory be validated, his administration could facilitate Tusk's efforts to integrate Poland more deeply into the European Union's frameworks.

Conversely, if Nawrocki—backed by the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party—secures the presidency, it may lead to further confrontations with the current government, potentially invigorating PiS's momentum heading into the parliamentary elections in 2027.

Both candidates have expressed support for ongoing assistance to Ukraine; however, their stances diverge significantly on NATO and EU matters. Trzaskowski, a former European minister, champions a vision of a Poland closely integrated with the EU, advocating for collaboration with France and Germany. He has served as Warsaw's mayor since 2018 and is perceived by some segments of the electorate as being part of the elite liberal establishment, despite his attempts to resonate with broader national sentiments.

Nawrocki, appearing as a fresh face in politics, champions an independent Poland, resisting the transfer of additional powers to Brussels. As a conservative Catholic, he emphasizes traditional family values and has garnered attention as a dynamic individual through his athletic pursuits. While allegations about his past have circulated during the campaign—suggesting moral inadequacies—Nawrocki has dismissed these as attempts to discredit him.

The political landscape of Poland hangs in the balance, and as the official results near release, the implications of this election for both national and EU politics will soon become clearer.

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