**House Control on the Line: Key Races Impacting Republican and Democratic Chances**

Tue Jul 15 2025 08:34:47 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
**House Control on the Line: Key Races Impacting Republican and Democratic Chances**

With control of the US House of Representatives still undecided, emerging races may determine whether Republicans or Democrats will prevail.


As the election results continue to unfold, several critical contests in states including California, Arizona, Maine, and Ohio are pivotal in shaping the next congressional makeup.

Following the recent election, the balance of control in the US House of Representatives remains uncertain. Republicans are currently at a deficit of seven seats needed to secure the majority of 218, while Democrats are in need of an additional 15 seats. With the Senate and the White House already transitioning to Republican control under President-elect Donald Trump, anticipation mounts regarding which party will dominate the House.

Control over the House holds significant implications—it allows the ruling party to initiate budgetary legislation and commence impeachment processes against officials. As the votes continue to be counted, both parties are closely watching several key races.

**California's Critical Contests**
In California, Democrats are hopeful about five tight races that could help them reclaim the House. The incumbents are narrowly leading in most of these cases, creating a highly competitive environment. For instance, Republican Congresswoman Michelle Steel is leading Democrat Derek Tran by four points in California’s 45th district, with 70% of the votes counted. Close races are also occurring in California's 27th between incumbent Mike Garcia and George Whitesides, and in California's 41st with incumbent Ken Calvert facing off against Will Rollins, both of which have narrow margins.

**Arizona's Tight Races**
Arizona features two highly contested races where margins are alarmingly close. In the 6th district, Republican Juan Ciscomani is maintaining a slim lead of 0.5 points against Democratic challenger Kirsten Engel. Similarly, in the 1st district, incumbent David Schweikert has a 1% edge over Democrat Amish Shah, with both races still awaiting a significant number of votes to be counted.

**Maine's Democratic Defense**
Maine is also seeing fierce competition, particularly for the 2nd Congressional district, where Democratic incumbent Jared Golden is striving to retain his position against Republican Austin Theriault. Golden is currently leading by less than a point, with 93% of votes counted.

**Ohio's Fragile Lead**
In Ohio, a closely watched race in the 9th congressional district sees incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Marcy Kaptur with a slight advantage of 0.3 points over Republican Derek Merrin. With 95% of votes counted, Kaptur's long tenure of service since 1983 hangs in the balance.

As the results continue to evolve, key races across these states exemplify the uncertainty surrounding congressional control. The outcome of these contests will significantly impact legislative priorities and the political landscape moving forward.

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