The Battle for Power in the Philippines: Marcos vs. Duterte

Tue Jun 17 2025 06:33:04 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
The Battle for Power in the Philippines: Marcos vs. Duterte

Political tensions heighten as mid-term election results shake foundations of the Marcos-Duterte alliance.


As the Philippines experiences an electoral aftermath, the political tug-of-war between President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte intensifies, now further complicated by recent mid-term election outcomes that signal shifting loyalties and public sentiment.

The Philippines’ tumultuous political landscape is now marked by renewed strife as the embers of a two-month election campaign cool. President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and his Vice President, Sara Duterte, once allies who triumphed in the 2022 elections, are now engulfed in a fierce power struggle. Accusations of threats and incompetence have spread between them, transforming this mid-term election into a crucial measure of their dynasties' resilience.

In what is deemed poor news for the Marcos faction, the election results revealed that out of the twelve newly elected senators, only six are allied with Marcos, with one senator also backed by Duterte. The outcome undermines the traditional power that comes with the presidency, raising questions about Marcos' influence as he enters the latter part of his term. Notably, the political landscape is further troubled by a pending impeachment trial for Duterte, which has the potential to thwart her ambition of succeeding Marcos in crucial future elections.

The fractured alliance began its downslide early in the administration and has become particularly strained following moves by Congress to initiate Duterte's impeachment. Marcos’ decision to send former President Rodrigo Duterte (Sara’s father) to face charges at The International Criminal Court has worsened tensions, with calls for vengeance brewing as Duterte interprets this as a betrayal. The impeachment process, requiring a two-thirds majority from the 24-seat senate, hinges on the dynamics established through recent elections.

The Philippines' political domain operates predominantly as a hereditary system where established families wield power over generations. The Dutertes and Marcoses stand atop this hierarchy, their legacies imprinted on Philippine politics. But the system's resilience comes from the blend of political and celebrity candidates, which complicates firm alliances. Politician Cleve Arguelles highlights how senators are astutely aware of public sentiment, often ready to shift their loyalties to align with popular opinion.

With national approval ratings for Bongbong Marcos dipping, coupled with his ineffective public speaking skills, the president's management of the economy has begun to attract scrutiny. An emotional rally led by Duterte, featuring video footage of her father's detention, resonated with the public and reinforced her standing within her base. Even Imee Marcos, Bongbong's sister, has shown shifting allegiances, embracing the Duterte camp to preserve her senatorial seat.

The impending impeachment trial, scheduled for July, will be pivotal, with visible divisions among senators regarding support for Marcos' agenda. The election has uncovered areas of strong support for the Dutertes, with few senators remaining staunchly loyal to the president. Unexpected victories for liberal senators Bam Aquino and Francis Pangilinan signal a desire for alternatives to the Marcos-Duterte regime, further complicating the political calculus surrounding potential impeachment.

Historically, no president or vice president has been successfully impeached in the Philippines, yet the ongoing tensions between Marcos and Duterte make this an unprecedented situation that promises a tumultuous year ahead. With looming lobbies and hidden agendas, the stage seems set for a dramatic showdown of loyalties and ambitions that could reshape the fabric of Philippine governance.

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