Will Republican Control of the House Remain in Doubt?

Tue Jul 15 2025 07:21:14 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Will Republican Control of the House Remain in Doubt?

Tight Races Across Key States Determine the Fate of Congressional Majority


As the battle for control of the US House of Representatives intensifies, several crucial races remain too close to call that could decisively shape party dynamics in the upcoming term.

The outcome of 2024's congressional election remains uncertain as Republicans and Democrats both vie for control of the House of Representatives. With Republicans currently seven seats shy of the necessary 218, and Democrats needing an additional 15, the focus now shifts to critical races still awaiting final counts. The Senate and the Presidential office have already transitioned to Republican control, which raises the stakes for future legislative dominance under President-elect Donald Trump, set to take office on January 20, 2025. A Republican-led House would not only influence financial legislation but could also trigger impeachment motions against officials.

Democrats are particularly pegging their hopes on five competitive congressional districts in California. While Republican incumbents lead with slight margins, the dynamics of these races remain tense. In California's 45th district, Republican Michelle Steel maintains a 4-point edge over Democrat Derek Tran with 70% of the votes counted. Similarly, California's 27th and 41st districts are battlegrounds with Republicans Mike Garcia and Ken Calvert holding narrow leads of 2 points and 2%, respectively.

Arizona also showcases two exceedingly close contests, with margins under 2%. Republican Juan Ciscomani leads Democrat Kirsten Engel by just 0.5 points, while David Schweikert holds a mere 1% advantage over Amish Shah in Arizona's 1st district.

Meanwhile, in Maine, Democrat Jared Golden is locked in a near-tie with his Republican opponent, Austin Theriault, leading by less than a point. Ohio's 9th district presents a similar scenario, where Congresswoman Marcy Kaptur, a veteran since 1983, holds on to a narrow 0.3-point lead over her Republican challenger, Derek Merrin, as votes continue to be tallied.

As the remaining ballots are counted, all eyes are on these pivotal races, which may define the legislative landscape as President Trump prepares to implement his agenda in Washington. The final results will determine whether Republicans can secure their foothold in the House or if Democrats manage to reclaim crucial territory.

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